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Tap any game for the matchup breakdown — history, projection, and a simulated result.
2025 SP+: -36.6 → -32.9 after regression
65%Roster talent: 12th percentile
18%Recruiting class: #116 national
16%Returning production: -57%
4%Preseason blend — SP+ weight rises when 2026 numbers publish (Aug). How we rank · not a betting line.
19 adds in two-deep · avg 60 OVR · top add: D. Matthews (WR, 70, from East Texas A&M)
- WRJoseph Griffin Jr. (54) vs Kezion Dia-Johnson (54)Δ0
- RTJaxon King (57) vs Greg Klingensmith (57)Δ0
- QBWilliam Watson III (55) vs Logan Inagawa (55)Δ0
- NTZakar Morris (54) vs Tim Passmore Jr. (54)Δ0
Updated Aug 17, 2026 · Data from public sources