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Tap any game for the matchup breakdown — history, projection, and a simulated result.
2025 SP+: -14.7 → -13.2 after regression
65%Roster talent: 30th percentile
18%Recruiting class: #106 national
16%Returning production: 72%
4%Preseason blend — SP+ weight rises when 2026 numbers publish (Aug). How we rank · not a betting line.
6 adds in two-deep · avg 68 OVR · top add: C. Dellinger (RG, 75, from Michigan State)
- RBJoey Mattord (61) vs Amareon Blue (61)Δ0
Updated Aug 17, 2026 · Data from public sources