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Tap any game for the matchup breakdown — history, projection, and a simulated result.
2025 SP+: 24.4 → 22.0 after regression
65%Roster talent: 93rd percentile
18%Recruiting class: #5 national
16%Returning production: 51%
4%Preseason blend — SP+ weight rises when 2026 numbers publish (Aug). How we rank · not a betting line.
7 adds in two-deep · avg 85 OVR · top add: F. Brewu (DT, 91, from Pittsburgh)
Updated Aug 17, 2026 · Data from public sources