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Tap any game for the matchup breakdown — history, projection, and a simulated result.
2025 SP+: 1.5 → 1.4 after regression
65%Roster talent: 69th percentile
18%Recruiting class: #28 national
16%Returning production: 65%
4%Preseason blend — SP+ weight rises when 2026 numbers publish (Aug). How we rank · not a betting line.
16 adds in two-deep · avg 77 OVR · top add: T. Bush Jr. (DE, 84, from California)
- RGTony Nelson (69) vs Jerome Williams (69)Δ0
Updated Aug 17, 2026 · Data from public sources